The Humanitarian Futures Programme (HFP) consists of four broad activities:

  • Work to build the capacity of participants in futures methods and approaches
  • Establishing and improving dialogue between scientists and humanitarian policy makers/practitioners
  • A programme of innovations relevant to humanitarian operations
  • Development of methods and tools

The following short paper is intended to outline some of the general and specific trends that will impact on the humanitarian sector in the next decades. Scenario development is based around an analysis of the key trends, and ‘drivers’ of change in the future. These are commonly categorised as social, technological, economic, environmental and political (STEEP) a short explanation of which follows below.